Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = NY Continenta Coach = s Scott BarnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.8239136 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.3) 21- 8 305 A Utica Empire 8 ( 6-10, 80.4) 22- 1 309 A Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.8) 5-17 315 N Tufts NESCAC (18- 3, 99.9) 12-19 316 N Lynchburg ODAC (16- 6, 96.3) 16-15 322 A Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 91.8) 13-10 327 H MIT NEWMAC ( 6-10, 90.7) 17-11 330 H Bowdoin NESCAC (14- 6, 98.2) 8-15 402 H Middlebury NESCAC (12- 9, 97.2) 10- 4 406 A Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.5) 7-11 410 A Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.3) 9-12 413 H Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 4, 97.4) 7-17 416 H Oneonta SUNYAC ( 7- 8, 87.1) 19- 8 420 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.0) 13- 6 427 A Tufts NESCAC (18- 3, 99.9) 14-13 504 A Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 4, 97.4) 6-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Bates 21- 8 13 5 1.81 305 A Utica 22- 1 21 13 0.00 309 A Amherst 5-17 -12 -2 -- -4.31 315 N Tufts 12-19 -7 -5 -1.90 316 N Lynchburg 16-15 1 -1 + 2.54 322 A Colby 13-10 3 2 0.70 327 H MIT 17-11 6 4 1.23 330 H Bowdoin 8-15 -7 -2 -- -4.32 402 H Middlebury 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 7.70 406 A Trinity 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.58 410 A Williams 9-12 -3 -1 -1.74 413 H Wesleyan 7-17 -10 -1 -- -5.08 416 H Oneonta 19- 8 11 8 0.00 420 A Connecticut College 13- 6 7 3 + 3.89 427 A Tufts 14-13 1 -5 +++ 6.81 504 A Wesleyan 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.68UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Amherst 5-17 -12 -2 -- -4.31 330 H Bowdoin 8-15 -7 -2 -- -4.32 406 A Trinity 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.58 413 H Wesleyan 7-17 -10 -1 -- -5.08 504 A Wesleyan 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.68OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Middlebury 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 7.70 427 A Tufts 14-13 1 -5 +++ 6.81 316 N Lynchburg 16-15 1 -1 + 2.54 420 A Connecticut College 13- 6 7 3 + 3.89
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.80 Power Rank................. 20 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 86.02 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 9 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6781 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 28 RPI Rating............... .5818 RPI Rank................... 51 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 23 Selection sum ........... 123 Selection Rank ............ 35 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 5. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 22 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 44 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7